Psychology of the possible and possibilistic thinking

Abstract

Background. The article is devoted to the psychological analysis of a new problem for the psychology of a possible — possibilistic thinking. It is substantiated that if classical psychology was directed to the past, focused on identifying the connections of past experience with current behavior, then the creative potential of the psychology of the possible lies in the fact that a very significant part of it is directed towards an unknown indefinite future. In the perspective of modern methodology of scientific knowledge, research in the psychology of the possible is based on the possibilistic thinking, including counterfactual reasoning and intuitive insight.

The objective of the study: to analyze the theoretical and methodological foundations of possibilistic thinking based on counterfactual reasoning and intuitive insight.

Results. The article presents an analytical review of research in the field of counterfactual thinking and serendipity. Two main areas of research into the possible are identified — cognitive and sociocultural. The cognitive direction of research reflects the desire of scientists to correlate and compare the real situation with the potentially acceptable and therefore possible. The sociocultural approach deals with the possible in a reality in which facts are not uniquely “objective”, because they depend on the opinions, attitudes, values, and norms of people. The sociocultural understanding of the human world is based on the analysis not only of the actual world, but also of the relation of possible worlds to it.

Conclusions. Possibilistic thinking is not structural and meaningful, but functional. It is actualized when, without focusing on options for changing the cognitive or communicative situation, it is impossible to understand its current state, as well as the potential for possible development. Significant components of possibilistic thinking are counterfactual reasoning and intuitive insight. The use of such thinking gives the cognizing subject an opportunity to deeply and fully analyze not only the current cognizable situation, but also possible past and future options for changing it.

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